Top 10 Geopolitical Risks for Businesses in 2024
At Insight Forward we firmly believe that businesses must be prepared for the geopolitical risks that could impact their market share and revenue. This means having a long-term strategy to deal with the oscillations that occur in global politics. To that end, we are already thinking about the most significant geopolitical risks that corporations will likely face in 2024.
Where are the ecoterrorists?
For over 40 years, radical environmentalists have engaged in direct action, but protests and sabotage have not evolved into a sustained campaign of violence against individuals. There is currently no indication that this will change in the near term. However, the current circumstances are unique, as the evidence for human impacts on the climate is now widely recognized as indisputable and urgent. Consequently, there is an increasing risk that radical environmentalists and their sympathizers may resort to more extreme forms of violence.
The Unabombers Enduring Influence
The report examines the lasting impact of Ted Kaczynski, also known as the Unabomber, on various extremist groups. While Kaczynski himself was not directly associated with environmentalism, his ideology is very likely to influence attacks by radicals on the political left and right. This includes ecofacists and more traditional eco-radicals.
Whitepaper: Emerging Technology and Intelligence Analysis
Major inventions have regularly upended the intelligence gathering mechanisms of security professionals. Adapting to these advanced technologies is critical for analysts and protectors. Our whitepaper discusses some of the key trends in emerging technology and intelligence analysis.
AI Ideology and Geopolitics
There is an ideological battle developing in AI. On the one hand are those advocating for the wider use and rapid development of Artificial Intelligence, on the other those that are calling for AI research to be slowed down, to ensure it is carried out safely and ethically.
The Revenge of Geopolitics
Globalization is in retreat, old conflicts and rivalries are re-emerging and what we are experiencing today is a product of an anarchic global system where state and non-state actors collaborate and compete based on their own self-interests rather than for any collective good. This is the revenge of geopolitics.
Corporate Reputation Warfare
The same kinds of information operations used in domestic politics, foreign policy, and geopolitics are now being used to directly target corporations. IF assess that this 'corporate reputation warfare' will be an important risk over the long term.
Find out why in our latest report - Corporate Reputation Warfare: Disinformation, polarization, and the Marketplace.
Report: The Wider Implications of the Israel-Hamas War
The Israel-Hamas war has entered its third week, and its implications are expanding beyond the battlefield. This will have political and business impacts.
Iran's relationship with AQAP
While terrorism is not necessarily always a direct risk to multinational organizations Al Qeada in the Arabian Peninsula continues to call for attacks targeting well-known business leaders and Western commercial interests. In this report, we look at the growing relationship between AQAP in Yemen and Iran through Al Qaeda's de facto leader, Saif al-Adel.
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